- A player prop is a market on one player's production, such as passing yards, receptions or points.
- Most props offer an over and an under on a number the book sets.
- Props react strongly to role changes, injuries and game script, so they can move sharply on news.
What a prop is
Instead of asking who wins or how many total points are scored, a player prop asks how one player will perform. The book picks a number for one statistic, and bettors decide whether the player will finish above it or below it.
How books price them
Books start from a projection of the player's production, built from recent usage, the matchup and expected playing time. They then set the line and prices around that projection, with a margin built in.
Prop markets usually take less money than sides and totals, so books often limit how much can be wagered and adjust prices more aggressively when bets come in.
Why props move
A prop depends on the player's role. If a teammate is ruled out, a receiver may see more targets. If the weather turns, passing projections may drop. If a team is expected to trail, its passing volume may rise. Each of these can move a prop more than it moves the game line.
Props on LeagueMind
LeagueMind shows prop prices from several books with their capture times, along with the player's recent numbers, so you can see how the line compares with what the player has actually been doing.
Keep in mind
- Prop lines can move quickly on injury and lineup news, so a displayed price may already be out of date.
- Books often cap prop wagers, and availability varies by book and state.
Odds can change at any time. Please verify them with your sportsbook. You can ask LeagueMind about anything.