SOCCER · MoneylineModel grade D · 42Loss
Coventry City
Coventry City @ Arsenal
Take Coventry City +1750 @ hardrockbet.
+0.2%Edge vs market
+3.3%Expected value
+1.3%CLV vs closing line
+1400Closing price
Trust score42
Edge strength2
Market agreement91
Line stability100
Data completeness23
Liquidity0
What went into this pick
Books compared: espnbet, fanatics, hardrockbet (3)Consensus line: +1691Window: 3h windowupdated —
Why this pick
Take Coventry City +1750 @ hardrockbet. The 3-book consensus prices this outcome at 5.6% true probability, a 0.2 percentage-point edge over this price's implied probability (+3.3% expected value per unit staked).
Why NOT to bet this
Only 3 books cleared the freshness bar for this market — a small sample to base a consensus price on. Data completeness is limited here (23/100) — book coverage or snapshot freshness is thinner than ideal.