MLB · SpreadModel grade D · 44Loss
Minnesota Twins +1.5
Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs
Take Minnesota Twins +1.5 −161 @ mybookieag.
+1.1%Edge vs market
+1.8%Expected value
−1.7%CLV vs closing line
−150Closing price
Trust score44
Edge strength11
Market agreement66
Line stability100
Data completeness38
Liquidity25
What went into this pick
Books compared: bovada, fanduel, mybookieag (3)Consensus line: −169Window: 3h windowupdated —
Why this pick
Take Minnesota Twins +1.5 -161 @ mybookieag. The 3-book consensus prices this outcome at 62.8% true probability, a 1.1 percentage-point edge over this price's implied probability (+1.8% expected value per unit staked).
Why NOT to bet this
Books disagree on this price more than usual (66/100 market agreement), so the consensus edge may be softer than it looks. Only 3 books cleared the freshness bar for this market — a small sample to base a consensus price on. Data completeness is limited here (38/100) — book coverage or snapshot freshness is thinner than ideal.